Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 0.005718 0.006045 0.006385 0.006764 0.007176 0.007612 0.008110
2026-02-08 0.005147 0.005619 0.006132 0.006734 0.007425 0.008199 0.009136
2026-02-15 0.004802 0.005355 0.005976 0.006729 0.007627 0.008675 0.010004
2026-02-22 0.004492 0.005089 0.005776 0.006632 0.007684 0.008951 0.010623
2026-03-01 0.004242 0.004871 0.005607 0.006545 0.007728 0.009195 0.011197
2026-03-08 0.004072 0.004731 0.005517 0.006540 0.007860 0.009544 0.011918
2026-03-15 0.003829 0.004488 0.005285 0.006337 0.007721 0.009523 0.012130
2026-03-22 0.003716 0.004398 0.005235 0.006360 0.007870 0.009885 0.012888
2026-03-29 0.003638 0.004347 0.005229 0.006435 0.008088 0.010347 0.013822
2026-04-05 0.003510 0.004225 0.005125 0.006373 0.008110 0.010534 0.014357
2026-04-12 0.003416 0.004143 0.005068 0.006367 0.008208 0.010830 0.015078
2026-04-19 0.003312 0.004042 0.004980 0.006315 0.008234 0.011018 0.015639
2026-04-26 0.003279 0.004035 0.005020 0.006442 0.008527 0.011627 0.016944
2026-05-03 0.003192 0.003953 0.004953 0.006415 0.008590 0.011887 0.017692
2026-05-10 0.003119 0.003886 0.004904 0.006410 0.008685 0.012200 0.018558
2026-05-17 0.003022 0.003782 0.004800 0.006319 0.008642 0.012288 0.019027
2026-05-24 0.002933 0.003688 0.004706 0.006238 0.008609 0.012387 0.019521
2026-05-31 0.002874 0.003633 0.004664 0.006233 0.008693 0.012684 0.020415
2026-06-07 0.002760 0.003498 0.004504 0.006044 0.008475 0.012455 0.020269
2026-06-14 0.002717 0.003461 0.004485 0.006066 0.008596 0.012815 0.021319
2026-06-21 0.002691 0.003447 0.004497 0.006136 0.008799 0.013329 0.022741
2026-06-28 0.002628 0.003379 0.004427 0.006077 0.008784 0.013453 0.023359
2026-07-05 0.002584 0.003337 0.004394 0.006072 0.008860 0.013744 0.024368